مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Nantes v Marseille
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nantes (المضيف)
التنبؤ 18.83%5.31السعر العادل
EV +8.25%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
النمو +0.143%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Marseille (الضيف)
التنبؤ 58.49%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 22.68%4.41السعر العادل
EV +2.07%
الأفضلية +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
النمو +0.012%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 00:20 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Bally Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 06:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Suprabets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 07:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53% | 16.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73% | 84.3% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |