StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Nantes v Marseille

Aanvang: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

43 wedaanbieders (15 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Nantes (Thuis)

Prognose 18.83%5.31margevrije odds
EV +8.25%
Voordeel +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Groei +0.143%

bij maximale odds 5.75

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Marseille (Uit)

Prognose 58.49%1.71margevrije odds
EV -1.74%
Voordeel -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.68

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 22.68%4.41margevrije odds
EV +2.07%
Voordeel +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Groei +0.012%

bij maximale odds 4.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Nantes (Thuis): 18.83%; Marseille (Uit): 58.49%; Gelijkspel: 22.68%. Voor Nantes (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.31. 18 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.75, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +8.25%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (43 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 00:20
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%2.9%2026-04-20 06:49
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%5.8%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:25
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:35
1xBet🎯5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-20 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 11:04
Pinnacle🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:09
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:06
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:00
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:40
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:59
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Suprabets🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:39
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 08:30
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73%84.3%2026-04-20 18:05