Szkoła Kursów

Nantes v Marseille

Początek: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

43 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nantes (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 18.83%5.31kurs godziwy
EV +8.25%
Przewaga +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Wzrost +0.143%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Marseille (Goście)

Prognoza 58.49%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.74%
Przewaga -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.68%4.41kurs godziwy
EV +2.07%
Przewaga +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Wzrost +0.012%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 00:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:25
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%2.9%2026-04-20 06:49
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%5.8%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:25
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:35
1xBet5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-20 18:04
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 11:04
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:09
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:06
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:40
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:59
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:39
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 07:15
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 08:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73%84.3%2026-04-20 18:05