Школа коэффициентов

Nantes v Marseille

Начало: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

43 букмекерские конторы (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nantes (Хозяева)

Прогноз 18.83%5.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.25%
Преимущество +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Рост +0.143%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marseille (Гости)

Прогноз 58.49%1.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.68%4.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.07%
Преимущество +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Рост +0.012%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (43 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 00:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:25
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%2.9%2026-04-20 06:49
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%5.8%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:25
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:35
1xBet5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-20 18:04
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 11:04
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:09
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:06
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:40
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:59
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:39
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 07:15
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 08:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73%84.3%2026-04-20 18:05