La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nantes v Marseille
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nantes (Local)
Predicción 18.83%5.31momio equitativo
EV +8.25%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marseille (Visitante)
Predicción 58.49%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.68%4.41momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 00:20 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Bally Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 06:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Suprabets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 07:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53% | 16.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73% | 84.3% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |