L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nantes v Marseille
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nantes (Local)
Prévision 18.83%5.31cote équitable
EV +8.25%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Marseille (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.49%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 00:20 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Bally Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 06:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Suprabets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 07:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53% | 16.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73% | 84.3% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |