Language:English
Bournemouth v Lincoln City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bournemouth (Local)
Prediction 76.50%1.31fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 8.73%11.45fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.77%6.77fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bournemouth (Local): 76.50%; Lincoln City (Visit): 8.73%; Draw: 14.77%. For Lincoln City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.45. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |