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Bournemouth v Lincoln City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Bournemouth (Хозяева)
Прогноз 76.50%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.31%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lincoln City (Гости)
Прогноз 8.73%11.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.76%
Преимущество +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
Рост +0.021%
при максимальном коэффициенте 12.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 14.77%6.77справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.319%
Преимущество -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Bournemouth (Хозяева): 76.50%; Lincoln City (Гости): 8.73%; Ничья: 14.77%. Для исхода «Lincoln City (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 11.45. 13 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 12.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.76%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |