StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bournemouth (Heim)

Prognose 72.37%1.38faire Quote
EV -3.75%
Vorteil -2.82%
Kelly -11.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.63%72.06%72.40%74.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.191.291.301.3384.03%77.46%76.92%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln City (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.79%9.27faire Quote
EV +4.64%
Vorteil +0.478%
Kelly +0.533%
Wachstum +0.025%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.68%10.87%10.79%12.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.328.109.7014.29%12.02%12.35%10.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.84%5.94faire Quote
EV -0.639%
Vorteil -0.108%
Kelly -0.130%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.50%17.07%16.81%19.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.755.385.405.9021.05%18.60%18.52%16.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Bournemouth (Heim): 72.37%; Lincoln City (Auswärts): 10.79%; Unentschieden: 16.84%. Für Lincoln City (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.27. 7 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 9.70 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +4.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.44%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.89%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.24%EV +1.40%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.59%EV -1.83%E -0.201%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -5.61%E -0.641%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:49
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.05%EV -13.88%E -11.66%K -73.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.23%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -11.54%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.83%EV -6.03%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.01%E -4.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.28%EV -8.81%E -6.99%K -33.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -21.79%E -3.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.64%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 19:25