StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-08 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bournemouth (Heim)

Prognose 76.50%1.31faire Quote
EV -1.31%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln City (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.73%11.45faire Quote
EV +4.76%
Vorteil +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.77%6.77faire Quote
EV -0.319%
Vorteil -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Bournemouth (Heim): 76.50%; Lincoln City (Auswärts): 8.73%; Unentschieden: 14.77%. Für Lincoln City (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 11.45. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 12.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.76%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:30
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:40
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 18:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 18:20
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 18:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 18:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:45
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-09-08 18:40