Langue:Français
Bournemouth v Lincoln City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bournemouth (Local)
Prévision 76.50%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lincoln City (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.73%11.45cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 14.77%6.77cote équitable
EV -0.319%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bournemouth (Local) : 76.50% ; Lincoln City (Visiteur) : 8.73% ; Match nul : 14.77%. Pour Lincoln City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.45. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.76%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |