Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bournemouth (Local)

Prévision 72.37%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -11.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.63%72.06%72.40%74.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.291.301.3384.03%77.46%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.79%9.27cote équitable
EV +4.64%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.533%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 9.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.68%10.87%10.79%12.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.328.109.7014.29%12.02%12.35%10.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.84%5.94cote équitable
EV -0.639%
Avantage -0.108%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.50%17.07%16.81%19.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.385.405.9021.05%18.60%18.52%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Bournemouth (Local) : 72.37% ; Lincoln City (Visiteur) : 10.79% ; Match nul : 16.84%. Pour Lincoln City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.27. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.70, pour une espérance positive de +4.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.44%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.89%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.24%EV +1.40%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.59%EV -1.83%E -0.201%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -5.61%E -0.641%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:49
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.05%EV -13.88%E -11.66%K -73.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.23%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -11.54%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.83%EV -6.03%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.01%E -4.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.28%EV -8.81%E -6.99%K -33.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -21.79%E -3.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.64%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 19:25