语言:简体中文
Bournemouth v Lincoln City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bournemouth (主队)
预测 76.50%1.31公平赔率
EV -1.31%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lincoln City (客队)
预测 8.73%11.45公平赔率
EV +4.76%
优势 +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 14.77%6.77公平赔率
EV -0.319%
优势 -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.75
博彩公司预测分布
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bournemouth (主队)：76.50%；Lincoln City (客队)：8.73%；平局：14.77%。 对于“Lincoln City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.45。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+4.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |