默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bournemouth (主队)

预测 72.37%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -2.82%
Kelly -11.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
69.63%72.06%72.40%74.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.291.301.3384.03%77.46%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lincoln City (客队)

预测 10.79%9.27公平赔率
EV +4.64%
优势 +0.478%
Kelly +0.533%
增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 9.70

博彩公司预测分布
9.68%10.87%10.79%12.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.328.109.7014.29%12.02%12.35%10.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.84%5.94公平赔率
EV -0.639%
优势 -0.108%
Kelly -0.130%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.90

博彩公司预测分布
15.50%17.07%16.81%19.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.385.405.9021.05%18.60%18.52%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Bournemouth (主队):72.37%;Lincoln City (客队):10.79%;平局:16.84%。 对于“Lincoln City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.27。 有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为9.70,由此产生+4.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.44%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.89%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.24%EV +1.40%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.59%EV -1.83%E -0.201%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -5.61%E -0.641%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:49
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.05%EV -13.88%E -11.66%K -73.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.23%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -11.54%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.83%EV -6.03%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.01%E -4.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.28%EV -8.81%E -6.99%K -33.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -21.79%E -3.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.64%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-03 13:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 19:25