StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Bournemouth (Hemma)

Prognos 76.50%1.31rättvist odds
EV -1.31%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -4.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.29%76.26%76.61%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.27%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln City (Borta)

Prognos 8.73%11.45rättvist odds
EV +4.76%
Fördel +0.397%
Kelly +0.433%
Tillväxt +0.021%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.68%8.80%8.74%10.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.5010.2310.0012.0011.76%9.78%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.77%6.77rättvist odds
EV -0.319%
Fördel -0.047%
Kelly -0.055%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.13%14.94%14.65%16.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.126.006.7518.18%16.34%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Bournemouth (Hemma): 76.50%; Lincoln City (Borta): 8.73%; Oavgjort: 14.77%. För Lincoln City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.45. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 12.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.76%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.04%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +4.76%E +0.397%K +0.433%G +0.021%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:30
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV -4.75%E -0.736%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.32%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -2.53%E -0.384%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:40
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -15.82%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.395%E +0.034%K +0.038%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.58%EV -3.18%E -0.287%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.70%EV -4.45%E -0.688%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.97%E -0.361%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -1.31%E -1.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -8.34%E -0.794%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.319%E -0.047%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 18:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 18:20
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 18:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -18.78%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.70%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 18:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:45
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -3.61%E -2.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.39%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.14%E -4.14%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.01%E -0.617%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -17.07%E -1.80%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -14.35%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.45%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.43%E -2.38%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -15.09%E -2.62%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -25.80%E -3.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -17.30%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-09-08 18:40