Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bournemouth v Lincoln City

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bournemouth (Local)

Previsão 72.37%1.38odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -11.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.63%72.06%72.40%74.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.291.301.3384.03%77.46%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Previsão 10.79%9.27odd justa
EV +4.64%
Vantagem +0.478%
Kelly +0.533%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.68%10.87%10.79%12.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.328.109.7014.29%12.02%12.35%10.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.84%5.94odd justa
EV -0.639%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.130%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.50%17.07%16.81%19.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.385.405.9021.05%18.60%18.52%16.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bournemouth (Local): 72.37%; Lincoln City (Visitante): 10.79%; Empate: 16.84%. Para Lincoln City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 9.27. 7 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 9.70, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +4.64%E +0.478%K +0.533%G +0.025%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -19.16%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.44%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +2.48%E +0.261%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.89%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.24%EV +1.40%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.59%EV -1.83%E -0.201%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.01%E -0.703%K -0.853%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -2.91%E -0.323%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -5.61%E -0.641%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.17%E -0.551%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:49
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.639%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.05%EV -13.88%E -11.66%K -73.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.23%EV -8.30%E -0.977%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -11.00%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.69%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -11.54%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.83%EV -6.03%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -13.70%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.01%E -4.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -19.09%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -9.06%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.28%EV -8.81%E -6.99%K -33.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -21.79%E -3.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.64%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.43%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.49%E -3.50%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.80%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-03 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 19:25