语言:简体中文
Vila Nova v Operario PR
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Vila Nova (主队)
预测 40.95%2.44公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Operario PR (客队)
预测 28.05%3.57公平赔率
EV +1.25%
优势 +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 3.61
博彩公司预测分布
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.01%3.23公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Vila Nova (主队)：40.95%；Operario PR (客队)：28.05%；平局：31.01%。 对于“Operario PR (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.57。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.61，对应+1.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |