La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vila Nova v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 40.95%2.44momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 28.05%3.57momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.01%3.23momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:14 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 21:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |