مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Vila Nova v Operario PR
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vila Nova (المضيف)
التنبؤ 40.95%2.44السعر العادل
EV -3.77%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Operario PR (الضيف)
التنبؤ 28.05%3.57السعر العادل
EV +1.25%
الأفضلية +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
النمو +0.006%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.01%3.23السعر العادل
EV -3.88%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:14 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 21:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |