Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v Operario PR

Początek: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 2–1 Operario PR

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.95%2.44kurs godziwy
EV -3.77%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Operario PR (Goście)

Prognoza 28.05%3.57kurs godziwy
EV +1.25%
Przewaga +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.01%3.23kurs godziwy
EV -3.88%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:14
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 20:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 20:04
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 21:25