Oddsskolan

Vila Nova v Operario PR

Matchstart: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Vila Nova 2–1 Operario PR

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 40.95%2.44rättvist odds
EV -3.77%
Fördel -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Operario PR (Borta)

Prognos 28.05%3.57rättvist odds
EV +1.25%
Fördel +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.01%3.23rättvist odds
EV -3.88%
Fördel -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:14
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 20:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 20:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 21:25