Школа коэффициентов

Vila Nova v Operario PR

Начало: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Итог: Vila Nova 2–1 Operario PR

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Vila Nova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.95%2.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.77%
Преимущество -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Operario PR (Гости)

Прогноз 28.05%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.25%
Преимущество +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.01%3.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.88%
Преимущество -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:14
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 20:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 20:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 21:25