A Escola das Odds

Vila Nova v Operario PR

Início: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Final: Vila Nova 2–1 Operario PR

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vila Nova (Local)

Previsão 40.95%2.44odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Operario PR (Visitante)

Previsão 28.05%3.57odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.01%3.23odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:05
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:14
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:00
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 21:05
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 20:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 20:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 20:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 21:25