Langue:Français
Vila Nova v Operario PR
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 40.95%2.44cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.25%40.96%40.85%43.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.3547.62%44.14%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Operario PR (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.05%3.57cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.94%28.12%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.6134.72%30.67%30.77%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.01%3.23cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.10%31.03%32.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.94%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vila Nova (Local) : 40.95% ; Operario PR (Visiteur) : 28.05% ; Match nul : 31.01%. Pour Operario PR (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.61, soit une espérance positive de +1.25%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.68%EV +1.25%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.84%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -13.18%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.60%E -2.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.63%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.01%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.70%E -3.72%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.86%E -5.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.28%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |