赔率学院

Vila Nova v Fortaleza

开赛时间: 2026-07-22 00:35 UTC

最终结果: Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 37.09%2.70公平赔率
EV -0.972%
优势 -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.67

博彩公司预测分布
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

Fortaleza (客队)

预测 31.47%3.18公平赔率
EV +0.692%
优势 +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.44%3.18公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Bovada2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:35
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 13:35
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:15
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 23:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 00:25
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:29
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:30
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-22 00:25