Школа коэффициентовVila Nova v Fortaleza
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Vila Nova (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.09%2.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.972%
Преимущество -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.67
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Fortaleza (Гости)
Прогноз 31.47%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.692%
Преимущество +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Ничья
Прогноз 31.44%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.52%
Преимущество -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |