Oddsskolan

Vila Nova v Fortaleza

Matchstart: 2026-07-22 00:35 UTC

Slutresultat: Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 37.09%2.70rättvist odds
EV -0.972%
Fördel -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 31.47%3.18rättvist odds
EV +0.692%
Fördel +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.44%3.18rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Bovada2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:35
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 13:35
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:15
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 23:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 00:25
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:29
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:30
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-22 00:25