L’École des cotesVila Nova v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 37.09%2.70cote équitable
EV -0.972%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.47%3.18cote équitable
EV +0.692%
Avantage +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.44%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |