مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Vila Nova v Fortaleza
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vila Nova (المضيف)
التنبؤ 37.09%2.70السعر العادل
EV -0.972%
الأفضلية -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.67
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Fortaleza (الضيف)
التنبؤ 31.47%3.18السعر العادل
EV +0.692%
الأفضلية +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
النمو +0.002%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.44%3.18السعر العادل
EV -2.52%
الأفضلية -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |