StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vila Nova v Fortaleza

Aanvang: 2026-07-22 00:35 UTC

Eindstand: Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

49 wedaanbieders (18 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vila Nova (Thuis)

Prognose 37.09%2.70margevrije odds
EV -0.972%
Voordeel -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.67

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Fortaleza (Uit)

Prognose 31.47%3.18margevrije odds
EV +0.692%
Voordeel +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Groei +0.002%

bij maximale odds 3.20

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 31.44%3.18margevrije odds
EV -2.52%
Voordeel -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Vila Nova (Thuis): 37.09%; Fortaleza (Uit): 31.47%; Gelijkspel: 31.44%. Voor Fortaleza (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.18. 1 wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 3.20, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.692%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (49 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:29
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:30
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 13:35
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 23:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 00:25
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:29
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:30
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-22 00:25