Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v Fortaleza

Początek: 2026-07-22 00:35 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.09%2.70kurs godziwy
EV -0.972%
Przewaga -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fortaleza (Goście)

Prognoza 31.47%3.18kurs godziwy
EV +0.692%
Przewaga +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.44%3.18kurs godziwy
EV -2.52%
Przewaga -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Bovada2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:35
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 13:35
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:15
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 23:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 00:25
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:29
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:30
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:29
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 00:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-22 00:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-07-22 00:30
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-07-22 00:25