Die Schule der QuotenDeutsch
Vila Nova v Fortaleza
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Vila Nova (Heim)
Prognose 37.09%2.70faire Quote
EV -0.972%
Vorteil -0.364%
Kelly -0.582%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.02%37.00%37.27%38.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.322.472.452.6743.10%40.48%40.82%37.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Fortaleza (Auswärts)
Prognose 31.47%3.18faire Quote
EV +0.692%
Vorteil +0.216%
Kelly +0.315%
Wachstum +0.002%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.04%31.54%31.43%33.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.902.903.2036.36%34.43%34.48%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Unentschieden
Prognose 31.44%3.18faire Quote
EV -2.52%
Vorteil -0.814%
Kelly -1.20%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.93%31.47%31.30%33.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.802.932.943.1035.71%34.15%34.01%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.692%E +0.216%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -4.31%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -2.45%E -0.792%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.15%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.38%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.23%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -10.70%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.52%E -0.814%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.13%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.17%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.13%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.32%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -0.972%E -0.364%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -11.58%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.14%EV -13.58%E -5.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -7.24%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.42%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.89%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -9.75%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 00:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.95%E -6.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 00:25 |