赔率学院

Vila Nova v Botafogo

开赛时间: 2026-06-08 23:02 UTC

最终结果: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 42.06%2.38公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.31

博彩公司预测分布
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 26.13%3.83公平赔率
EV +3.23%
优势 +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.80%3.14公平赔率
EV -4.60%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-08 22:52
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 23:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 22:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-08 22:58
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73%0.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-06-08 22:59