Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v Botafogo

Początek: 2026-06-08 23:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.06%2.38kurs godziwy
EV -2.83%
Przewaga -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Botafogo (Goście)

Prognoza 26.13%3.83kurs godziwy
EV +3.23%
Przewaga +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Wzrost +0.035%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.80%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -4.60%
Przewaga -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-08 22:52
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 23:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 22:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-08 22:58
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73%0.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-06-08 22:59