Школа коэффициентов

Vila Nova v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-06-08 23:02 UTC

Итог: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Vila Nova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.06%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.83%
Преимущество -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.31

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 26.13%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.23%
Преимущество +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Рост +0.035%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.80%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.60%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-08 22:52
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 23:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 22:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-08 22:58
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73%0.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-06-08 22:59