L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vila Nova v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV +3.23%
Avantage +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.80%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-08 22:52 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |