مدرسة الاحتمالاتVila Nova v Botafogo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vila Nova (المضيف)
التنبؤ 42.06%2.38السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Botafogo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 26.13%3.83السعر العادل
EV +3.23%
الأفضلية +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
النمو +0.035%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.80%3.14السعر العادل
EV -4.60%
الأفضلية -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-08 22:52 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |