Die Schule der Quoten

Vila Nova v Botafogo

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-08 23:02 UTC

Endstand: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Vila Nova (Heim)

Prognose 42.06%2.38faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Botafogo (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.13%3.83faire Quote
EV +3.23%
Vorteil +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Wachstum +0.035%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.80%3.14faire Quote
EV -4.60%
Vorteil -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-08 22:52
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 23:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 22:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 23:00
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 22:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-08 22:58
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 23:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73%0.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-08 23:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-06-08 22:59