La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Vila Nova v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Vila Nova (Casa)
Previsione 42.06%2.38quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.38%42.13%42.10%44.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.202.3150.00%46.19%45.45%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.13%3.83quota equa
EV +3.23%
Vantaggio +0.818%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.035%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.57%26.04%26.21%27.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.80%3.14quota equa
EV -4.60%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.75%31.84%31.69%33.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.852.883.0040.00%35.04%34.72%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV +3.23%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.035% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.51%E -6.01%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.691%E -0.182%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-08 22:52 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -1.21%E -0.321%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.63%EV -1.74%E -0.462%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.00%EV -14.19%E -6.95%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -2.00%E -0.533%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.96%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.87%E -7.94%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -3.30%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -9.68%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -8.73%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -10.00%E -3.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -20.50%E -8.20%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -15.06%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.73% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |