赔率学院

Ponte Preta v Vila Nova

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Ponte Preta (主队)

预测 32.14%3.11公平赔率
EV -1.000%
优势 -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.08

博彩公司预测分布
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MIN均值中位数MAX

Vila Nova (客队)

预测 35.72%2.80公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 32.14%3.11公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:54
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 20:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:54
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:39
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:53
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:20
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:18
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-04-11 20:55