La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ponte Preta v Vila Nova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ponte Preta (Casa)
Previsione 32.14%3.11quota equa
EV -1.000%
Vantaggio -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vila Nova (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.72%2.80quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 32.14%3.11quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |