Oddsskolan

Ponte Preta v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 32.14%3.11rättvist odds
EV -1.000%
Fördel -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 35.72%2.80rättvist odds
EV -1.77%
Fördel -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.14%3.11rättvist odds
EV -1.98%
Fördel -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:54
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 20:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:54
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:39
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:53
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:20
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:18
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-04-11 20:55