مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Ponte Preta v Vila Nova
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ponte Preta (المضيف)
التنبؤ 32.14%3.11السعر العادل
EV -1.000%
الأفضلية -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.08
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Vila Nova (الضيف)
التنبؤ 35.72%2.80السعر العادل
EV -1.77%
الأفضلية -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 32.14%3.11السعر العادل
EV -1.98%
الأفضلية -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |