L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ponte Preta v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 32.14%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.000%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.72%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.14%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |