Die Schule der Quoten

Ponte Preta v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ponte Preta (Heim)

Prognose 32.14%3.11faire Quote
EV -1.000%
Vorteil -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.72%2.80faire Quote
EV -1.77%
Vorteil -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.14%3.11faire Quote
EV -1.98%
Vorteil -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:54
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 20:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:54
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:39
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:53
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:20
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:18
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-04-11 20:55