La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ponte Preta v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 32.14%3.11momio equitativo
EV -1.000%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 35.72%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.14%3.11momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |