Школа коэффициентов

Ponte Preta v Vila Nova

Начало: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ponte Preta (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.14%3.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.000%
Преимущество -0.325%
Kelly -0.481%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.11%32.15%32.16%34.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.812.803.0838.02%35.54%35.71%32.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vila Nova (Гости)

Прогноз 35.72%2.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.77%
Преимущество -0.644%
Kelly -1.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.93%35.88%35.69%37.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.62%38.46%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.14%3.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.98%
Преимущество -0.649%
Kelly -0.966%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.93%31.97%32.16%33.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.68%34.78%32.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -1.000%E -0.325%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.94%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -10.98%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:54
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -2.93%E -0.970%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.23%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 20:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.57%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 20:44
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -7.49%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:54
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.84%E -3.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.75%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -8.39%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%EV -8.56%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.34%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.41%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.84%E -7.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.649%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:39
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.62%E -4.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -14.27%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 20:53
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -1.77%E -0.644%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -14.82%E -5.59%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:20
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:18
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -15.46%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -6.80%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-04-11 20:55