Language:English
Juventude v Ponte Preta
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 66.82%1.50fair odd
EV +0.235%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visit)
Prediction 11.09%9.02fair odd
EV +10.88%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.132%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 66.82%; Ponte Preta (Visit): 11.09%; Draw: 22.09%. For Ponte Preta (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 07:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |