La scuola delle quote

Juventude v Ponte Preta

Inizio: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

Finale: Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 66.82%1.50quota equa
EV +0.235%
Vantaggio +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.09%9.02quota equa
EV +10.88%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.132%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.09%4.53quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:40
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:49
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-14 13:50
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:40
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:29
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 13:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 13:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 07:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-06-14 13:50