语言:简体中文
Juventude v Ponte Preta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juventude (主队)
预测 66.82%1.50公平赔率
EV +0.235%
优势 +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ponte Preta (客队)
预测 11.09%9.02公平赔率
EV +10.88%
优势 +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
增长率 +0.132%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.09%4.53公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.45
博彩公司预测分布
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juventude (主队)：66.82%；Ponte Preta (客队)：11.09%；平局：22.09%。 对于“Ponte Preta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.02。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+10.88%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 07:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |