L’École des cotesFrançais
Juventude v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 66.82%1.50cote équitable
EV +0.235%
Avantage +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.09%9.02cote équitable
EV +10.88%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.132%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.09%4.53cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 07:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |