Школа коэффициентов

Juventude v Ponte Preta

Начало: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

Итог: Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Juventude (Хозяева)

Прогноз 66.82%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.235%
Преимущество +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ponte Preta (Гости)

Прогноз 11.09%9.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.88%
Преимущество +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Рост +0.132%

при максимальном коэффициенте 10.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.09%4.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.71%
Преимущество -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:40
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:49
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-14 13:50
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:40
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:29
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 13:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 13:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 07:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-06-14 13:50