مدرسة الاحتمالات

Juventude v Ponte Preta

البداية: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Juventude (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.82%1.50السعر العادل
EV +0.235%
الأفضلية +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ponte Preta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.09%9.02السعر العادل
EV +10.88%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
النمو +0.132%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.09%4.53السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:40
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:49
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-14 13:50
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:40
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:29
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 13:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 13:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 07:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-06-14 13:50